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2024-12-13 05:31:42

Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".Market news: Mohammed Al Bashir will form a transitional government.


Armed representatives of the Syrian opposition: I hope to establish cooperative relations with the international community including Russia. Ahmed Toma, head of the armed delegation of the Syrian opposition in Astana talks on Syria, told the Russian media on the 9 th that the Syrian opposition is committed to establishing an independent democratic country in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254 and hopes to establish cooperative relations based on mutual respect with all parties including Russia. Sputnik news agency & radio reported on the same day that Toma said in an interview with the satellite news agency that the Syrian opposition will devote itself to maintaining the operation of state institutions, ensuring security and improving people's livelihood in the future. "We hope to build a civilized, independent and democratic country according to UN Security Council Resolution 2254." Toma said that the Syrian opposition "hopes to achieve stability and has no intention of punishing anyone." (CCTV News)The largest artificial intelligence supercomputing center in Hong Kong was opened, and the largest artificial intelligence supercomputing center in Hong Kong was officially put into service on the 9th, providing computing support for local universities, R&D institutions and enterprises, and helping the construction of Hong Kong International Innovation Center. Sun Dong, Director of the Innovation, Technology and Industry Bureau of the Hong Kong SAR Government, said at the opening ceremony held at the Cyberport that artificial intelligence is a key technology to develop new quality productivity and has great potential. In the face of this wave of science and technology, Hong Kong should keep pace with the times, actively deploy and seize the opportunities of artificial intelligence development. Supercomputing Center will not only provide advanced computing power to promote industrial development, but also become the cradle of cultivating talents related to artificial intelligence and inject new impetus into the high-quality development of Hong Kong's economy.Dongfang Jincheng: In 2025, the policy interest rate cut may reach 0.5 percentage points. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Dongfang Jincheng judges that in 2025, the central bank will continue to implement vigorous interest rate cuts and RRR cuts, among which the policy rate cuts may reach 0.5 percentage points, which is significantly higher than the rate cut of 0.3 percentage points this year, and the interest rates of various structural monetary policy instruments will also be lowered in a timely manner, thus guiding the financing costs of enterprises and residents to go down. It is not ruled out that in 2025, it is possible to continue to implement a large-scale targeted interest rate cut on residential mortgages by greatly guiding the downward trend of LPR quotations for more than five years. (The Paper)


Liang Wang was awarded the best men's doubles of the year. On December 9, Hangzhou, the awarding ceremony of the 2024 World Badminton Federation's Best Athlete of the Year Award and the Hall of Fame selection ceremony were held. Liang Weikeng/Wang Chang won the best men's doubles combination of the year.Ruifeng Optoelectronics: Hubei Ruihua, a wholly-owned subsidiary, received a government subsidy of 8,820,200 yuan. Ruifeng Optoelectronics announced that Hubei Ruihua Optoelectronics Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary, recently received a loan interest subsidy of 8,820,200 yuan from the local finance of gedian Development Zone in Ezhou City, accounting for 19.20% of the company's audited net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in the latest fiscal year.Merchants Shekou: In November, the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. Merchants Shekou announced that in November 2024, the company realized the contracted sales area of 827,400 square meters and the contracted sales amount was 21.592 billion yuan. From January to November, 2024, the contracted sales area was 8,169,500 square meters, and the contracted sales amount was 189.063 billion yuan.

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